Posts Tagged ‘straight_times’

Mini Post – What are the chances of making 10 hole-in-ones in your lifetime?

Monday, September 17th, 2007

This is interesting, the odds of making 10 hole-in-ones in your life would be:

113,527,276,681,000,000 to 1

Since Jan. 23, the 46-year-old from Rancho Mirage, Calif., has hit 10 holes in one, or just eight fewer than were hit on the entire Ladies Professional Golf Association tour last year.

Her local paper, the Desert Sun of Palm Springs, Calif., has corroborated Ms. Gagne’s feat, running notes alongside articles from editors saying they’re just as skeptical as readers, but everything has checked out.

The paper also asked a local statistician, Michael McJilton of the College of the Desert, to compute the odds against the feat. The result, which headlined the article: 113,527,276,681,000,000 to 1. And that was after just seven aces. I asked Mr. McJilton to repeat the computation after Ms. Gagne hit three more in the following couple of weeks, over a total of just 75 rounds. He returned the astronomical number of roughly 12 septillion (12 followed by 24 zeroes) to 1. Such an unlikely event should never happen. It’s like winning the lottery four straight times. No wonder David Letterman came calling.

via online.wsj